Union Saint-Gilloise sit top of the table with a commanding +27 goal difference, while Westerlo languish in 10th after a humiliating 0-4 home defeat. The visitors have won four of the last five meetings and possess superior squad depth despite minor injury doubts to Rodríguez.

Genk enters this derby on a five-match winning streak, including a statement 2-0 victory over Anderlecht and Europa League progression. Their squad is fully fit, while Gent misses key players Hyllarion Goore, Mathias Delorge, and Matisse Samoise. Recent head-to-head heavily favors Genk, who won the last two meetings 4-0 and 4-1. With superior momentum, full availability, and home advantage at Cegeka Arena, Genk represents strong value despite the short price.